My latest, with @amanda_hsiao in @ForeignAffairs. A short summary: China wants to unify with Taiwan at the lowest possible cost, and it currently believes that unification will become easier and less costly as time passes. Beijing’s belief that time is on its side will face a major test in 2028, when presidential elections in Taiwan and the United States could shake Beijing’s confidence in its strategy. https://t.co/2vvI4dGRkK