Here’s the dynamic when it comes to the nuclear negotiations, as I see it:
Inside Iran, there isn’t one unified position. It’s a split.
For the IRGC, the nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and weapons stockpiles are not bargaining chips. They see them as the core of regime
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Here’s the dynamic when it comes to the nuclear negotiations, as I see it:
Inside Iran, there isn’t one unified position. It’s a split.
For the IRGC, the nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and weapons stockpiles are not bargaining chips. They see them as the core of regime survival. Give that up, and you lose deterrence, leverage, and ultimately control.
From their perspective, disarmament is not a deal, it’s surrender.
And if the outcome is losing power either way, their logic shifts: fight, escalate, and if necessary embrace martyrdom over capitulation.
On the other side, parts of the political leadership appear more pragmatic. They understand the economic and military pressure and are at least open to exploring a deal to preserve what they can.
That’s the deadlock.
One side sees compromise as survival.
The other sees it as the end.
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