ISW assessed that Russia “does not have sufficient manpower or materiel” to conquer the remainder of Donetsk “while simultaneously continuing offensive operations elsewhere.”
“The Kremlin is therefore making demands in negotiations that Ukraine cede the unoccupied parts of Donetsk Oblast, likely in order to save Russia the personnel and materiel resources and possibly to put Russia in a more advantageous position to re-invade in the future to pursue Putin’s longer-term strategic goal of controlling all of Ukraine,” the assessment went on.
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