My estimate of the probability of Grok 5 achieving AGI is now at 10% and rising

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马杜罗和他的老婆刚刚被带到纽约市

美国对委内瑞拉动武内幕大揭秘！

B站这个《三打白骨精》创意节目绝了…..

wataa

结局来的太快！马杜罗被抓，跟随镜头还原美国三角洲特种部队行动过程。

I love this reaction to Maduro being captured.

1月3日，委内瑞拉民众走上街头，庆祝总统马杜罗被抓。

美國為什麼不敢打委內瑞拉？看看國民黨如何滿世界丟人的。

馬杜羅抵達紐約。下飛機時是標準的「毒販」套裝：頭上被戴頭套。

美国活捉马杜罗后大量中国网民涌入特朗普相关视频下方“接好运”“SOS”

委內瑞拉空軍基地遭空襲後的後果可以看到被打擊後俄羅斯“山毛櫸-M2E” 防空導彈系統。

突发：委内瑞拉独裁者尼古拉斯·马杜罗被全副武装的车队送达曼哈顿的美国缉毒局办公室。

随着清晨到来，醒来的委内瑞拉人民得知马杜罗被活捉的消息后，纷纷爆发出欢呼庆祝，迎接属于他们的日出

一声叹息，从“王”的女人到“田”的男人，王石晚节不保说实话，田朴珺完全靠整容，真的不好看😂😂 原来女人成功后也会“休夫”的👍😂

网友投稿：湖北，再次发现食用油罐车开进化工厂。

委内瑞拉人跳YMCA感谢川普

靠！这个是什么电影？！

考古视频： 2001年“中国流行歌曲榜”颁奖礼上，田震原本以最高票数获得“内地最受欢迎女歌手”奖项，但最终该奖却颁给了票数位居第二的那英。田震当场表示强烈不满，质疑评选结果不公，并愤而摔话筒离场。

搞不懂 #陈丹青什么时候说的话，估计超过10年了，视频找不到出处，但尺度好吓人。奇怪的是，那么难听的粗口，听起来反而觉得超级痛快。

1月4日，中国要求美国立即释放马杜罗夫妇的新闻，遭到近七万网友群嘲：

为什么美军能快速定位马杜罗，因为他用了中国人的华为

遥遥领先这次是真的😆😆😆

马杜罗：“川普，来抓老子吧，老子等着你们！” 川普：

美国活抓马杜罗后，委内瑞拉老百姓喜极而泣。

想起一个老梗，川普老西医，专治吹牛逼

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My estimate of the probability of Grok 5 achieving AGI is now at 10% and rising
btc
( twitter.com )

2个月前由 Elon Musk 提交

1周内 1个月内 1年内全部时间

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People underestimate the number of illegals who entered the country under the Biden-Harris administration.
Very Liberal people estimate 3.77 million
Liberals estimate 4.14 million
Reality: 10 million
btc
( twitter.com)

2个月前 • The Rabbit Hole 0 评论

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My rough estimate is that it’s ~80% lack of competence/caring and ~20% fraud.
But that’s still a lot of fraud!
btc
( twitter.com)

10个月前 • Elon Musk 0 评论

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Lots of confusion about what a world model is. Here is my definition:
Given:
- an observation x(t)
- a previous estimate of the state of the world s(t)
- an action proposal a(t)
- a latent variable proposal z(t)
A world model computes:
- representation: h(t) = Enc(x(t))
-…
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Yann LeCun 0 评论

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Important to note that the date of publication of the half trillion dollar annual fraud estimate from is last year during the BIDEN administration
btc
( twitter.com)

10个月前 • Elon Musk 0 评论

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The vaquita is a rare species of porpoise endemic to the northern part of the Gulf of California. It's the most endangered cetacean in the world. A 2019 estimate reported that a maximum of 22 and a minimum of 6 vaquita porpoises remain

[read more: ]
有趣
( buff.ly)

2年前 • Massimo 0 评论

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Putin's share of the vote in presidential elections.
2000: 53.4%
2004: 71.9%
2012: 63.6%
2018: 76.6%
2024: 87% (estimate, according to exit polls)
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • The Spectator Index 0 评论

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A shockwave from an explosion travels at the speed of sound, which is a function of the air temperature. If we estimate ~350 m/s (at 35°C, being in a desert), we can calculate the distance of the deflagration (s = vt) at about 3 km (3,150 meters)

有趣
( twitter.com)

2年前 • Massimo • 下载视频 0 评论

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Today is the birthday of the Republic of Turkey. 🇹🇷
This charismatic man is the founder of the Republic of Turkey, Mustafa Kemal Ataturk. ❤️
He is the Father of the Turks.
He is my everything, my love, my blood! ❤️
He was a soldier!
While he founded the Republic of Turkey, he
有趣
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Figen 0 评论

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A Chinese boy’s aspiration: “My grandpa was the director of the Agricultural Development Bank of China, my father is the director of ADBC, my mother is the deputy director of ADBC, and I want to be the director of ADBC in order to inherit our family wealth.”
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Yaxue Cao • 下载视频 0 评论

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This is from the new IMF GDP estimate (PPP). If it doesn't destabilize your beliefs about the structure of the world, you are hopeless.
China is already much larger than the US and EU.; India is already the 3rd economy.
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Nassim Nicholas Taleb 0 评论

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I canceled my Cybertruck order.
My email arrived 3 days after the death of my wife of 47 years. She is the reason I ordered it. Between the financial and emotional costs of the funeral and her death, I’m just not ready.
To whomever gets my Cybertruck … take good care of it.
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Gort 0 评论

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Elon Musk on how he makes predictions: I generally try to get the estimate to the nearest order of magnitude.
Herbert Ong: “We want to understand how you think. For example, in the Master Plan Part II, you calculated it takes 6 billion of FSD miles driven before maybe the
btc
( twitter.com)

1个月前 • ELON CLIPS • 下载视频 0 评论

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Instead of watching P*tin spill lies in the Tucker Carlson interview, I suggest watching
When I was sent the pieces of hospital footage to translate, and this scene below played out, I had to pause and leave the room; I was crying too hard to see my screen.…
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Тетяна Denford (Тетяна Бісик) 🇺🇦 0 评论

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On the 40th anniversary of the signing of the Sino-British Joint Declaration over #HongKong, I have written this message, in my hand and from my heart 👇
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Benedict Rogers 羅傑斯 0 评论

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This just changed my habits for the rest of my life
有趣
( twitter.com)

1年前 • non aesthetic things • 下载视频 0 评论

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Biden: "While it has been my intention to seek reelection, I believe it is in the best interest of my party and the country for me to stand down and to focus solely on fulfilling my duties as President for the remainder of my term"
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • BNO News 0 评论

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Recently, Ukrainian defenders began to attack Russian airfields in the temporarily occupied territories with ATACMS missiles. Experts estimate that one ATACMS strike accounted for 10% of total Russian helicopter losses

So, according to satellite images, the Russians lost 9 RF…
时政
( twitter.com)

2年前 • Lew Anno Suport #Ukraine 24/2-22 0 评论

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Announcing the release of the new book Voice for the Voiceless: Decades of Struggle with China for My Land and My People will be available on March 11. “In my role as the Dalai Lama, there is no issue more important than what I describe in these pages. My hope is that the book
时政
( twitter.com)

11个月前 • Dalai Lama 0 评论

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I need them to pack my suitcase at the end of my vacation
有趣
( twitter.com)

7个月前 • NO CONTEXT HUMANS • 下载视频 0 评论

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This is the job of my dreams
有趣
( twitter.com)

10个月前 • Wild Clips • 下载视频 0 评论

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this is the inside of my brain
有趣
( twitter.com)

11个月前 • NO CONTEXT HUMANS • 下载视频 0 评论

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the price of mirrors was one of my most shocking adult discoveries
有趣
( twitter.com)

7个月前 • non aesthetic things 0 评论

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My friend is on the frontline of the protests in Georgia.
This is the frontline of the democratic world and a cause in need of much more attention.
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Robert Potter 0 评论

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I’m on my way to the Royal Courts of Justice. If Julian loses this round, it will be the end of the road of the UK courts.
#FreeAssangeNOW
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Stella Assange #FreeAssangeNOW 0 评论

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