The sell-side bank and Fed forecaster consensus is now aligned in expecting the first rate cut in June, with the previous outliers recently junking their recession calls. The uniformity here oversells the degree of conviction around a June cut. These have moved a lot in 2024. , page 28

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经历过婚姻的才知道她说的有多对

他可能是中国最胆大的县委书记，为留下政绩，竟主动邀请导演拍摄他的日常并制作影片，看完之后，一定远超你的想象！

台湾的公务员长这样

12月3日，一段“内蒙古乌拉特前旗法官乔某倒车时撞倒两人”的视频在网络上引发关注。 12月4日，当地交管部门回应称，事故发生于11月15日，原因系乔某在倒车时未观察车况，也未在确认安全的情况下进行操作。遇到突发情况时，其采取措施不当，需承担本起事故全部责任。

「深圳易力声3000人大罢工，工人为何要抵制“5天8小时”（2025.12.04-05）」周四（12月4日）起，位于广东深圳宝安区的易力声科技有限公司爆发大规模集体抗争行动。约3000名一线工人集体罢工，抗议公司长期实行“五天八小时”工作制。截至12月5日上午，工人的抗争行动仍在继续。

美国🇺🇸私人卫星公司，早上拍摄的中国榆林海军基地，停靠在港口的福建号航空母舰。

这才是人间清醒，任何时候都要先顾好自己。

这倒确实是腊肉的真实想法：比起人的生命和生活质量，更在乎自己的路线延续性和历史评价（其实路线延续性也不是很重要，历史评价最重要，为了把评价的权力握在手里可以把昨天说过的话当放屁）。

🚨又一桩令人发指的ICE的恶行，被纵容的永远都会是无法无天、肆意妄为 ICE 在芝加哥逮捕了一名紧急剖腹产后仅15天的妇女，尽管此时她的孩子还躺在新生儿重症监护室。

近日，有网友发现，福彩公益金涉嫌弄虚作假，福彩公益金受助公示名单直接抄袭更早的百度文库人名大全，甚至连排列顺序都一模一样。

烏克蘭有野性的傳統，任何人都不能在烏克蘭軍人活著的時候，命令烏克蘭停止抵抗，寧為玉碎不為瓦全。

川普恶心的事儿美国联邦政府宣布：所有国家公园，都将在川普的生日 —— 6月14日向公众免费开放。但却取消了两个与黑人有关的免费日：马丁·路德·金纪念日（1月的第三个星期一），以及 “六月节” 或 “解放日”（6月19日）。川普是真的从来没想过自己会下台吗？！

新下海女神！正宗网红【美娜】大黑牛自慰！呻吟娇喘不断[679.16MB/MP4/WF]

充满智慧的评论

#自由散步王府井《百分百妇女展览》的卫生巾刺绣墙上写着：独立平等、勇敢自由。

赛道很复杂……

1/12白宫刚刚发表了由川普签署的《美国国家安全战略》。该报告首次提出了川普版本的新门罗主义：

我剑也未偿不利！ #大回旋运动

When nationalism overheats, even innocence becomes collateral. This week in China, a Shiba Inu — a dog with no nationality, no ideology — was reportedly beaten to death by security personnel after being labelled a ‘Japanese breed.’ The anger wasn’t about a dog. It was about a

美國總統特朗普獲“和平獎”，自己戴上獎章國際足聯向特朗普頒發了其“和平獎”。該獎項於一個月前設立。此前美國總統未能獲得諾貝爾和平獎，但這個也算“安慰獎”吧，國際足聯也真會拍馬屁。

马杜罗在委内瑞拉央视嗨大了，嘲讽川普是纸老虎。

12月6日，广东省深圳市，工人凌晨集体跳楼讨薪。

广州是改革开放的窗口，是中国最接近天堂的地方。

伊斯蘭邪教，把所有的醜和惡發揮到極致。伊斯蘭邪教，把所有的美和善埋葬到地獄。

12月5日，山东滕州，一名教师发帖吐槽去年11月到3月的工资被拖欠至今，评论区的网友表示自己也遇到了类似的情况。

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The sell-side bank and Fed forecaster consensus is now aligned in expecting the first rate cut in June, with the previous outliers recently junking their recession calls.
The uniformity here oversells the degree of conviction around a June cut. These have moved a lot in 2024.
时政
( twitter.com )

1年前由 Nick Timiraos 提交

点击图片查看原图

1周内 1个月内 1年内全部时间

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The Codex Gigas, also known as the Devil's Bible, is the largest medieval manuscript in the world written in the 13th century.
It is a medieval illuminated manuscript created at the Benedictine monastery of Podlažice in Bohemia, today a region of the present-day Czech Republic.
有趣
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Figen • -- 点击 0 评论

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A prime example of a Mayan sanctuary of the classical period, Palenque was at its height between 500-700 AD, when its influence extended throughout the basin of the Usumacinta River. The elegance and craftsmanship of the buildings, as well as the lightness of the sculpted reliefs…
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Archaeo - Histories • -- 点击 0 评论

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The library of the German Abbey is considered a masterpiece of the Rococo style.
有趣
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Figen • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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a father who works at a water park was caught on camera breaking in overnight with his son to give him a memorable treat for his 11th birthday. The boss looked into the matter and the father was not fired.
有趣
( twitter.com)

3个月前 • non aesthetic things • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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China continues to astonish the world with its groundbreaking inventions.
The latest achievement: the Shared Public Phone — a revolutionary communication terminal where users can make calls after scanning a QR code.
This milestone joins a growing list of world-leading
时政
( twitter.com)

1个月前 • The Great Translation Movement 大翻译运动 • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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Breaking News: Outrageous Injustice –
Mohammad Sadeghi, an acclaimed Iranian actor, is sentenced to a harsh five years in prison solely for advocating the #WomanLifeFreedom movement. In a stark contrast, not a single official of the Islamic regime, implicated in the shooting…
时政
( twitter.com)

2年前 • Masih Alinejad 🏳️ • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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Remember the Nobel Prize winner who died in a Chinese prison in 2017? Trump didn't utter a word, let alone sanctions. That was a green light for Russia to do the same thing. I hope Biden doesn't make the same mistake.
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Huey Li • -- 点击 0 评论

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The Eternal Flame Falls is a small waterfall located in the Shale Creek Preserve, New York. A small grotto at the waterfall's base emits natural gas (~ 1 kg of methane per day), lit to produce a small flame

[read more: ]

有趣
( buff.ly)

2年前 • Massimo • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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Space start-up Relativity Space Stargate device is capable of building a rocket fuel tank with a 3D printing process. This is a time lapse of the printing process of the ACO tank for the Terran 1 rocket

[read more: ]
有趣
( buff.ly)

2年前 • Massimo • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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The very same person promised in the Rose Garden next to Obama in 2015 that China would not militarize the South China Sea. You are a fool if you believe a word, or a punctuation for that matter, from this man.
时政
( twitter.com)

2年前 • Yaxue Cao • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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The Mountain Coaster at the Oeschinen mountain station, Kanderteg, Switzerland, is an unforgettable experience for young and old. On a length of 750 meters you overcome a height difference of ~150 meters at a rapid pace while contemplating the Swiss Alps

有趣
( twitter.com)

2年前 • Massimo • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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I took a picture of the sky.
The little white thing on the right is the moon.
有趣
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Figen • -- 点击 0 评论

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The tallest bridge in the world also has a coffee shop at the top of the tower.
有趣
( twitter.com)

2个月前 • The Figen • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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This video was posted by Russian propagandists today. A Russian drone is adjusting a fire with four guided thermobaric bombs on the position of one of our brigades near the village of Lyptsi, a key village on the approaches to Kharkiv.
The small landing is literally demolished by
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Anton Gerashchenko • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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The U.N. Security Council has passed a U.S. draft resolution by a vote of 10-0, supported by China and Russia, which calls for a swift end to the war in Ukraine without placing fault on Russia. The U.K, France and 3 other members of the Security Council abstained.
时政
( twitter.com)

9个月前 • OSINTdefender • -- 点击 0 评论

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Shout out to the engineering team for the work that went into making steer-by-wire "feel as natural as riding a bicycle."
This MT article has some good technical tidbits embedded - I added a chart below that helps illustrate the variability
"The steering ratio adjusts over a
btc
( twitter.com)

9个月前 • Wes • -- 点击 0 评论

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ELON: WE MUST PUT AN END TO THE TYRANNY OF THE BUREAUCRACY
“In order for us to be a true democracy, a functioning democracy, the government must be responsive to the people.
That's literally what democracy means.
However, when you have a vast unelected bureaucracy that is not
btc
( twitter.com)

9个月前 • Mario Nawfal • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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🤩 This magical, mystical scene of a star cluster within a nebula is about 8,000 light-years away. The brightest object in the picture was once thought to be a single star with 200-300 times the mass of the Sun, but discovered that it's actually two separate stars.
btc
( twitter.com)

5个月前 • NASA • -- 点击 0 评论

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A study on a UBI pilot in Oakland shows how research can be presented to reflect the authors’ biases rather than provide an impartial account of the results. Despite finding no discernible impacts on any of the prespecified outcomes, the summary only tells a positive story.
1/7
时政
( twitter.com)

4个月前 • John Arnold • -- 点击 0 评论

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Australia's choice of Japan to partner with its next gen frigate -- despite it being the pricier option -- is a very significant development for the people of Japan.
For the first time since the end of WWII, a country actively wanted to be a fully-committed ally of Japan,
时政
( twitter.com)

4个月前 • Ken Moriyasu • -- 点击 0 评论

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Two years ago CNN released a photo taken by the photographer Anil Prabhakar in the forest in Indonesia. The image shows an orangutan, currently under threat of extinction, while stretching out his hand to help a geologist who fell into a mud pool during his search. When the
时政
( twitter.com)

1年前 • Mr Commonsense • -- 点击 0 评论

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Islam is not a religion as people in the West understand religion. It is a tyrannical form of theocratic government more akin to a 20th-century dictatorship.
Life is not sacred in Islam, and the ends justify the means (amorality). Haj Amin al-Husseini and Hassan al-Banna, the…
时政
( twitter.com)

2年前 • Imtiaz Mahmood • -- 点击 0 评论

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MIDJOURNEY PROMPTS: HOW A COMMA AFFECTS THE OUTPUT

Every word in your prompt matters. Think of it as how important it is to the Midjourney bot.

After playing around a bit, I noticed that adding a comma increases the importance of more words. This changes the results.

You can…
时政
( twitter.com)

2年前 • Tatiana Tsiguleva • -- 点击 0 评论

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A shockwave from an explosion travels at the speed of sound, which is a function of the air temperature. If we estimate ~350 m/s (at 35°C, being in a desert), we can calculate the distance of the deflagration (s = vt) at about 3 km (3,150 meters)

有趣
( twitter.com)

2年前 • Massimo • -- 点击 • 下载视频 0 评论

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Chinese singer Wang Fang, who sang at the ruins of a drama theater in Mariupol, calls the Ukrainian military "Nazis" and accuses them of "killing the children of Donbas"

Her husband is Zhou Xiaoping, who is a Chinese official and a member of the Chinese Communist Party. He, as…
时政
( twitter.com)

2年前 • NEXTA • -- 点击 0 评论

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