MORE: A prominent Kremlin-affiliated milblogger observed that the Russian state media, following Putin’s November 27 press conference, is widely spreading false claims that the frontline in Ukraine is collapsing as Ukrainian forces desert and surrender en masse and leave large areas undefended; that Russian forces will soon drive on Kyiv City; and that Russian forces have already defeated Ukrainian forces and only have to “finish them off."

The milblogger affirmed that the frontline is not collapsing; that Russia is far from victory; that Russian forces maintain the initiative at high personnel and materiel costs; that Ukrainian and Russian forces are engaged in positional warfare along the entire frontline; and that Ukrainian forces are counterattacking — all of which coheres with all available open-source evidence from the battlefield.

ISW continues to assess that while the situation in some specific sectors of the frontline is serious, particularly in Pokrovsk and Hulyaipole directions, Putin’s and Russian state media’s assertions are exaggerated and do not correspond to the battlefield reality they claim to represent.

It is notable that the Kremlin’s misrepresentation of the situation on the ground was so far from reality that a prominent pro-war Russian blogger felt compelled to issue his own corrective statement.

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